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Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina not -1.5

LOSS  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line value: +0.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 3480d8f5-6916-42d3-ae63-36b5d555b1b7.

Entry (frozen)

basis
would_bet
at
2026-10-31T20:08:40.024499
ticker
KXNHLSPREAD-26NOV01WPGCAR-CAR2
contract_side
no
price
50.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
p_final
51.5%
p_market
51.5%
p_model
51.8%
edge
+1.5pp
gate_outcome
would_bet

Close

price
50.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T17:58:00.015695
clv
+0.0pp

Result

outcome
LOSS
settled_at
2026-11-01T20:42:00.034611
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T20:08:40.024499
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T17:48:40.019060
evaluations
651
gate_outcome
would_bet
ever_would_bet
yes

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T17:48:40.019060
bet_on
Carolina not -1.5
line
1.5
contract_side
no
price
49.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
p_market
50.0%
p_model
51.3%
p_final
50.0%
p_final_source
maker_consensus
edge
+1.0pp
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
gate_outcome
would_bet
source
maker_lane

Versions

source
maker_lane
sources
['maker_lane']
lane
NHL:spread_maker
buffer_pp
1.5
fair_source
kalshi_mid
note
shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)

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