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Utah Mammoth @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia ML

WIN  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:moneyline_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line value: +0.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 3bcdbc91-d99a-43a4-91bd-6137aecce6a5.

Entry (frozen)

basis
would_bet
at
2026-10-31T21:00:40.020514
ticker
KXNHLGAME-26NOV01UTAPHI-PHI
contract_side
yes
price
39.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
p_final
40.9%
p_market
40.9%
p_model
42.4%
edge
+1.9pp
gate_outcome
would_bet

Close

price
39.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T20:58:00.020237
clv
+0.0pp

Result

outcome
WIN
settled_at
2026-11-01T23:40:00.032587
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T21:00:40.020514
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T20:48:41.129538
evaluations
715
gate_outcome
would_bet
ever_would_bet
yes

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T20:48:41.129538
bet_on
Utah ML
line
n/a
contract_side
yes
price
59.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
p_market
60.3%
p_model
67.0%
p_final
60.3%
p_final_source
maker_consensus
edge
+1.3pp
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
gate_outcome
would_bet
source
maker_lane

Versions

source
maker_lane
sources
['maker_lane']
lane
NHL:moneyline_maker
buffer_pp
1
fair_source
consensus
note
shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)

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