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Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars: Dallas -1.5

WIN  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:sharp_lag · source sharp_lag · starts 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line value: +3.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 3c70eccc-eb09-4026-9ca9-eccf64c30684.

Entry (frozen)

basis
first_seen
at
2026-10-31T00:01:20.132859
ticker
KXNHLSPREAD-26OCT31CBJDAL-DAL2
contract_side
yes
price
38.0¢
price_kind
ask
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
p_final
37.8%
p_market
37.8%
p_model
n/a
edge
-2.2pp
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin

Close

price
41.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-10-31T23:58:00.019787
clv
+3.0pp

Result

outcome
WIN
settled_at
2026-11-01T02:42:00.024438
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T00:01:20.132859
last_evaluated_at
2026-10-31T23:43:20.018106
evaluations
710
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
ever_would_bet
no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-10-31T23:43:20.018106
bet_on
Dallas not -1.5
line
1.5
contract_side
no
price
61.0¢
price_kind
ask
p_market
60.6%
p_model
n/a
p_final
60.6%
p_final_source
consensus_devig_main
edge
-2.4pp
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
source
sharp_lag

Versions

source
sharp_lag
sources
['sharp_lag']
devig
min(multiplicative,power)
kalshi_observed_at
2026-10-31T00:01:20.724024

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