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Edmonton Oilers @ New York Rangers: New York R not -1.5

PENDING  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line value: +2.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 5d9e7b8c-7cfc-40d5-9fcf-c22b92924915.

Entry (frozen)

basis
would_bet
at
2026-10-31T23:00:40.026633
ticker
KXNHLSPREAD-26NOV01EDMNYR-NYR2
contract_side
no
price
66.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
p_final
66.8%
p_market
66.8%
p_model
68.0%
edge
+0.8pp
gate_outcome
would_bet

Close

price
68.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T22:58:00.019771
clv
+2.0pp

Result

outcome
PENDING
settled_at
n/a
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T23:00:40.026633
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T22:48:40.026130
evaluations
715
gate_outcome
would_bet
ever_would_bet
yes

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T22:48:40.026130
bet_on
New York R -1.5
line
-1.5
contract_side
yes
price
30.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
p_market
31.4%
p_model
32.3%
p_final
31.4%
p_final_source
maker_consensus
edge
+1.4pp
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
gate_outcome
would_bet
source
maker_lane

Versions

source
maker_lane
sources
['maker_lane']
lane
NHL:spread_maker
buffer_pp
0.5
fair_source
consensus
note
shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)

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