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Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars: Dallas ML

WIN  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:moneyline_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line value: +3.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 5eea2898-b99a-4307-a2f7-2516b9c4b3de.

Entry (frozen)

basis
would_bet
at
2026-10-31T00:00:40.056481
ticker
KXNHLGAME-26OCT31CBJDAL-DAL
contract_side
yes
price
60.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
p_final
62.0%
p_market
62.0%
p_model
64.8%
edge
+2.0pp
gate_outcome
would_bet

Close

price
63.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-10-31T23:58:00.019787
clv
+3.0pp

Result

outcome
WIN
settled_at
2026-11-01T02:42:00.024438
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T00:00:40.056481
last_evaluated_at
2026-10-31T23:48:40.021222
evaluations
715
gate_outcome
would_bet
ever_would_bet
yes

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-10-31T23:48:40.021222
bet_on
Dallas ML
line
n/a
contract_side
yes
price
61.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
p_market
62.6%
p_model
66.1%
p_final
62.6%
p_final_source
maker_consensus
edge
+1.6pp
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
gate_outcome
would_bet
source
maker_lane

Versions

source
maker_lane
sources
['maker_lane']
lane
NHL:moneyline_maker
buffer_pp
1
fair_source
consensus
note
shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)

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