Edmonton Oilers @ New York Rangers: New York Rangers -1.5

PENDING Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread · source market_scan · starts 2026-11-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line value: +0.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 66230c64-d448-4812-b220-634eef6ee388.

Entry (frozen)

basis: first_seen
at: 2026-10-31T21:43:00.024093
ticker: KXNHLSPREAD-26NOV01EDMNYR-NYR2
contract_side: yes
price: 33.0¢
price_kind: ask
fee_per_contract: 2.0¢
p_final: 32.0%
p_market: 32.4%
p_model: 28.8%
edge: -3.0pp
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum

Close

price: 33.0¢
kind: ask
at: 2026-11-01T22:58:00.019771
clv: +0.0pp

Result

outcome: PENDING
settled_at: n/a
pnl: n/a

Decision

first_seen_at: 2026-10-31T21:43:00.024093
last_evaluated_at: 2026-10-31T22:53:00.022740
evaluations: 8
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum
ever_would_bet: no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at: 2026-10-31T22:53:00.022740
bet_on: New York Rangers -1.5
line: -1.5
contract_side: yes
price: 33.0¢
price_kind: ask
p_market: 32.4%
p_model: 28.8%
p_final: 32.0%
p_final_source: per_pick_posterior
edge: -3.0pp
fee_per_contract: 2.0¢
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum
source: market_scan
best_side: NYR:yes
other_side: edge=-3.0pp, side=NYR:no, price=69.0¢, p_final=68.0%, gate_outcome=rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum

Versions

source: market_scan
sources: ['market_scan']
decision_source: market_scan
probability_source: per_pick_posterior
posterior_method: market_blend_v1
posterior_computed_at: 2026-10-31T21:37:21.797886
analysis_updated_at: 2026-10-31T21:37:19.198337

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