EDGE SCOREBOARD · RECORD
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars: Dallas not -1.5
LOSS Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC
Closing line value: +0.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 96a04bfd-0691-4be7-a0b4-61176e997671.
Entry (frozen)
- basis
- would_bet
- at
- 2026-10-31T02:12:40.022168
- ticker
- KXNHLSPREAD-26OCT31CBJDAL-DAL2
- contract_side
- no
- price
- 61.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- p_final
- 61.6%
- p_market
- 61.5%
- p_model
- 62.4%
- edge
- +0.5pp
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
Close
- price
- 61.0¢
- kind
- ask
- at
- 2026-10-31T23:58:00.019787
- clv
- +0.0pp
Result
- outcome
- LOSS
- settled_at
- 2026-11-01T02:42:00.024438
- pnl
- n/a
Decision
- first_seen_at
- 2026-10-31T02:12:40.022168
- last_evaluated_at
- 2026-10-31T23:48:40.021222
- evaluations
- 649
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- ever_would_bet
- yes
Decision snapshot
The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.
- at
- 2026-10-31T23:48:40.021222
- bet_on
- Dallas -1.5
- line
- -1.5
- contract_side
- yes
- price
- 38.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- p_market
- 39.0%
- p_model
- 39.3%
- p_final
- 39.0%
- p_final_source
- maker_consensus
- edge
- +1.0pp
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- source
- maker_lane
Versions
- source
- maker_lane
- sources
- ['maker_lane']
- lane
- NHL:spread_maker
- buffer_pp
- 0.5
- fair_source
- consensus
- note
- shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)
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