EDGE SCOREBOARD · RECORD
Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals: Minnesota -1.5
WIN Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 20:30 UTC
Closing line value: +4.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 97fabe1b-7739-45f7-959c-0d22881d02a2.
Entry (frozen)
- basis
- would_bet
- at
- 2026-10-31T21:42:40.030847
- ticker
- KXNHLSPREAD-26NOV01MINWSH-MIN2
- contract_side
- yes
- price
- 27.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- p_final
- 28.1%
- p_market
- 28.1%
- p_model
- 28.9%
- edge
- +1.1pp
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
Close
- price
- 31.0¢
- kind
- ask
- at
- 2026-11-01T20:28:00.015741
- clv
- +4.0pp
Result
- outcome
- WIN
- settled_at
- 2026-11-01T23:16:00.020721
- pnl
- n/a
Decision
- first_seen_at
- 2026-10-31T21:42:40.030847
- last_evaluated_at
- 2026-11-01T20:18:40.279142
- evaluations
- 679
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- ever_would_bet
- yes
Decision snapshot
The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.
- at
- 2026-11-01T20:18:40.279142
- bet_on
- Minnesota not -1.5
- line
- 1.5
- contract_side
- no
- price
- 68.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- p_market
- 69.4%
- p_model
- 70.2%
- p_final
- 69.4%
- p_final_source
- maker_consensus
- edge
- +1.4pp
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- source
- maker_lane
Versions
- source
- maker_lane
- sources
- ['maker_lane']
- lane
- NHL:spread_maker
- buffer_pp
- 0.5
- fair_source
- consensus
- note
- shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)
This record as JSON → Back to the scoreboard →
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