EDGE SCOREBOARD · RECORD
Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche: Colorado not -1.5
LOSS Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 02:00 UTC
Closing line value: +3.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is 98b19b4c-e9e2-414b-8f0f-fa5c30a5e7db.
Entry (frozen)
- basis
- would_bet
- at
- 2026-10-31T02:00:40.029905
- ticker
- KXNHLSPREAD-26OCT31CGYCOL-COL2
- contract_side
- no
- price
- 38.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- p_final
- 39.5%
- p_market
- 39.5%
- p_model
- 41.0%
- edge
- +1.5pp
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
Close
- price
- 41.0¢
- kind
- ask
- at
- 2026-11-01T01:58:00.023410
- clv
- +3.0pp
Result
- outcome
- LOSS
- settled_at
- 2026-11-01T04:42:00.035542
- pnl
- n/a
Decision
- first_seen_at
- 2026-10-31T02:00:40.029905
- last_evaluated_at
- 2026-11-01T01:48:40.013732
- evaluations
- 715
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- ever_would_bet
- yes
Decision snapshot
The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.
- at
- 2026-11-01T01:48:40.013732
- bet_on
- Colorado not -1.5
- line
- 1.5
- contract_side
- no
- price
- 39.0¢
- price_kind
- maker_bid
- p_market
- 40.5%
- p_model
- 42.0%
- p_final
- 40.5%
- p_final_source
- maker_kalshi_mid
- edge
- +1.5pp
- fee_per_contract
- 1.0¢
- gate_outcome
- would_bet
- source
- maker_lane
Versions
- source
- maker_lane
- sources
- ['maker_lane']
- lane
- NHL:spread_maker
- buffer_pp
- 1.5
- fair_source
- kalshi_mid
- note
- shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)
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