EDGE SCOREBOARD · RECORD

Utah Mammoth @ Philadelphia Flyers: not Utah ML

WIN  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:sharp_lag · source sharp_lag · starts 2026-11-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line value: -2.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is acfbd601-f552-4c48-9963-bd5d59f59b98.

Entry (frozen)

basis
first_seen
at
2026-10-31T21:01:20.021855
ticker
KXNHLGAME-26NOV01UTAPHI-UTA
contract_side
no
price
41.0¢
price_kind
ask
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
p_final
40.9%
p_market
40.9%
p_model
n/a
edge
-2.1pp
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin

Close

price
39.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T20:58:00.020237
clv
-2.0pp

Result

outcome
WIN
settled_at
2026-11-01T23:40:00.032587
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T21:01:20.021855
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T20:43:20.024960
evaluations
657
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
ever_would_bet
no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T20:43:20.024960
bet_on
Philadelphia ML
line
n/a
contract_side
yes
price
39.0¢
price_kind
ask
p_market
39.3%
p_model
n/a
p_final
39.3%
p_final_source
consensus_devig_main
edge
-1.7pp
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
source
sharp_lag

Versions

source
sharp_lag
sources
['sharp_lag']
devig
min(multiplicative,power)
kalshi_observed_at
2026-10-31T21:01:20.223084

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