Edmonton Oilers @ New York Rangers: Edmonton Oilers +1.5

PENDING Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:spread · source market_scan · starts 2026-11-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line value: -1.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is bb81eba7-3dc8-427a-ad73-6932c49bf626.

Entry (frozen)

basis: first_seen
at: 2026-10-31T23:03:00.032015
ticker: KXNHLSPREAD-26NOV01EDMNYR-NYR2
contract_side: no
price: 69.0¢
price_kind: ask
fee_per_contract: 2.0¢
p_final: 68.0%
p_market: 67.7%
p_model: 71.2%
edge: -3.0pp
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum

Close

price: 68.0¢
kind: ask
at: 2026-11-01T22:58:00.019771
clv: -1.0pp

Result

outcome: PENDING
settled_at: n/a
pnl: n/a

Decision

first_seen_at: 2026-10-31T23:03:00.032015
last_evaluated_at: 2026-11-01T22:53:00.019476
evaluations: 144
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum
ever_would_bet: no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at: 2026-11-01T22:53:00.019476
bet_on: Edmonton Oilers +1.5
line: 1.5
contract_side: no
price: 68.0¢
price_kind: ask
p_market: 67.3%
p_model: 71.2%
p_final: 67.7%
p_final_source: per_pick_posterior
edge: -2.3pp
fee_per_contract: 2.0¢
gate_outcome: rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum
source: market_scan
best_side: NYR:no
other_side: edge=-2.7pp, side=NYR:yes, price=33.0¢, p_final=32.3%, gate_outcome=rejected:fee_adjusted_edge_below_minimum

Versions

source: market_scan
sources: ['market_scan']
decision_source: market_scan
probability_source: per_pick_posterior
posterior_method: market_blend_v1
posterior_computed_at: 2026-10-31T21:37:21.797886
analysis_updated_at: 2026-10-31T21:37:19.198337

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