EDGE SCOREBOARD · RECORD

Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche: Colorado not -2.5

LOSS  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:sharp_lag · source sharp_lag · starts 2026-11-01 02:00 UTC

Closing line value: +2.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is bb8580e0-17c7-4ac6-82dd-b81ee4da946f.

Entry (frozen)

basis
first_seen
at
2026-10-31T12:15:20.026223
ticker
KXNHLSPREAD-26OCT31CGYCOL-COL3
contract_side
no
price
53.0¢
price_kind
ask
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
p_final
54.6%
p_market
54.6%
p_model
n/a
edge
-0.4pp
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin

Close

price
55.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T01:58:00.023410
clv
+2.0pp

Result

outcome
LOSS
settled_at
2026-11-01T04:42:00.035542
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T12:15:20.026223
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T01:43:20.023349
evaluations
403
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
ever_would_bet
no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T01:43:20.023349
bet_on
Colorado -2.5
line
-2.5
contract_side
yes
price
46.0¢
price_kind
ask
p_market
46.3%
p_model
n/a
p_final
46.3%
p_final_source
consensus_devig_main
edge
-1.7pp
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
source
sharp_lag

Versions

source
sharp_lag
sources
['sharp_lag']
devig
min(multiplicative,power)
kalshi_observed_at
2026-10-31T12:15:20.446775

This record as JSON →   Back to the scoreboard →

21+ only. For entertainment and information; not financial advice. Past results do not predict future ones. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.