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Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes: not Carolina ML

LOSS  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:sharp_lag · source sharp_lag · starts 2026-11-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line value: +0.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is c8b8ee12-7400-4942-802a-023e4d000ffa.

Entry (frozen)

basis
first_seen
at
2026-10-31T20:11:20.022737
ticker
KXNHLGAME-26NOV01WPGCAR-CAR
contract_side
no
price
28.0¢
price_kind
ask
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
p_final
28.5%
p_market
28.5%
p_model
n/a
edge
-1.5pp
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin

Close

price
28.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T17:58:00.015695
clv
+0.0pp

Result

outcome
LOSS
settled_at
2026-11-01T20:42:00.034611
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T20:11:20.022737
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T17:43:20.025226
evaluations
600
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
ever_would_bet
no

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T17:43:20.025226
bet_on
not Carolina ML
line
n/a
contract_side
no
price
28.0¢
price_kind
ask
p_market
27.4%
p_model
n/a
p_final
27.4%
p_final_source
consensus_devig_main
edge
-2.6pp
fee_per_contract
2.0¢
gate_outcome
rejected:edge_below_margin
source
sharp_lag

Versions

source
sharp_lag
sources
['sharp_lag']
devig
min(multiplicative,power)
kalshi_observed_at
2026-10-31T20:11:20.307676

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