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Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche: Colorado ML

WIN  Shadow intent (no money) · lane NHL:moneyline_maker · source maker_lane · starts 2026-11-01 02:00 UTC

Closing line value: +3.0pp. Positive means the entry beat the closing price; negative means it did not. This record id is e0e59db6-09e7-4d68-9dd7-53dda4335ebf.

Entry (frozen)

basis
would_bet
at
2026-10-31T02:00:40.029905
ticker
KXNHLGAME-26OCT31CGYCOL-COL
contract_side
yes
price
76.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
p_final
78.5%
p_market
78.5%
p_model
80.4%
edge
+2.5pp
gate_outcome
would_bet

Close

price
79.0¢
kind
ask
at
2026-11-01T01:58:00.023410
clv
+3.0pp

Result

outcome
WIN
settled_at
2026-11-01T04:42:00.035542
pnl
n/a

Decision

first_seen_at
2026-10-31T02:00:40.029905
last_evaluated_at
2026-11-01T01:48:40.013732
evaluations
715
gate_outcome
would_bet
ever_would_bet
yes

Decision snapshot

The last evaluation before the event started (shadow) or the numbers at order time (live). Probabilities are DDN SI's; prices are Kalshi's.

at
2026-11-01T01:48:40.013732
bet_on
Calgary ML
line
n/a
contract_side
yes
price
20.0¢
price_kind
maker_bid
p_market
21.6%
p_model
23.1%
p_final
21.6%
p_final_source
maker_consensus
edge
+1.6pp
fee_per_contract
1.0¢
gate_outcome
would_bet
source
maker_lane

Versions

source
maker_lane
sources
['maker_lane']
lane
NHL:moneyline_maker
buffer_pp
2
fair_source
kalshi_mid
note
shadow CLV assumes a fill at the quote (upper bound; live fills measure adverse selection)

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21+ only. For entertainment and information; not financial advice. Past results do not predict future ones. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.